Replacement Theology or Supressionism is the teaching that God has replaced the nation of Israel with the Church. All the blessings of the Abrahamic covenant now belong to the Church as God has rejected Israel due to her unfaithfulness and disobedience over the centuries. To my knowledge, I am not aware of when this "replacement" occurred, but there were many no doubt during the first century believed God had rejected his people due to their unbelief. Paul in Romans 11:1 asked the question, "Has God rejected His people?" I'll answer that later. But what does the word of God say in regards to His covenant relationship with Israel. To understand God's relationship with Israel, we must go back in time before the nation was born to see what were the conditions of the covenant God made with one man, Abram (named changed to Abraham in Genesis 17:5).
The call of Abram
The Lord said to Abram, "Go from your country, your people and father's household to the land I will show you. I will make you into a great nation, and I will bless you; I will make your name great, and you will be a blessing. I will bless those who bless you, and whoever curses you I will curse; and all people on earth will be blessed through you" (Genesis 12:1-4).
The Abrahamic Covenant
"Look up at the sky and count the stars-if indeed you can count them." Then He said to Him, "So shall your offspring be." Abram believed God and he credited to him as righteousness" (Genesis 15:5).
"On that day the Lord made a covenant with Abram and said, "To your descendants I give this land, from the Wadi of Egypt to the great river, the Euphrates, the land of the Kenites, Kenizzites, Kadmonites, Hittites, Perrizzites, Rephaites, Amorites, Canaanites, Girgashites and Jebusites" (Genesis 15:18b-20).
When Abram was ninety-nine years old, the Lord appeared to him and said, "I Am God Almighty; walk before Me faithfully and be blameless. Then I will make my covenant between me and you and will greatly increase your numbers." Abram fell facedown, and God said to him, "As for me, this is my covenant with you: You will be the father of many nations. No longer will you be called Abram; your name will be Abraham, for I have made you a father of many nations. I will make you very very fruitful; I will make nations of you, and kings will come from you. I will establish my covenant as an everlasting covenant between Me and you and your descendants after you for the generations to come, to be your God and the God of your descendants after you. The whole land of Canaan, where you now reside as a foreigner, I will give as an everlasting possession to you and your descendants after you; and I will be their God" (Genesis 17:1-8).
The aforementioned texts makes it clear God has not forsaken His ancient people although most of them have forsaken the Lord over millennia. Two of the main promises/blessings of the Abrahamic covenant are 1) Numerous descendants. 2) Land grant. The covenantal promises God made to Abraham were not conditional; meaning that Abraham had to do something to merit them. This was a one way promise., God chose to bless Abraham simply because it pleased Him to do so (Psalm 115:3).
Whether modern society wants to accept it or not, the land of Israel belongs to the Jews, not the Arabs. As we have just read, God promised the land to Abraham and all of his offspring: His son Isaac, Isaac's son Jacob who's name was changed to Israel by God in Genesis 32:28. That is why the land is called Israel to this very day. The land was given the name Syria Palestina after the defeat of the Jews led by military leader Simon Bar Kochba against Emperor Hadrian on the 9th of Av 135 AD. To many this defeat of Israel led many to believe that God has forsaken the Jews permanently.
The rebirth of Israel
No nation in human history has ever resurrected after not being a nation or not having a homeland for nearly 1900 years other than the Jews. Their first Prime Minister David Ben-Gurion on May 14th, 1948 declared that the new state of Israel was officially born and they were independent. Since this declaration, this tiny nation has had nothing but war in the last 77 years as a state. After defeating Hamas, Hezbollah and the Houthis all proxy's for Iran, they attacked Iran directly on June 13, 2025.
What is currently the position Biblically of Israel?

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